TRAPS

For the last week we have set three humane traps where we believed Turtle was hiding. We set the traps, checked them regularly and changed the food every day. We used a borrowed wildlife camera one night, no sightings. That night we played an iPhone recording of BB, Turtle's adopted brother, several times. We stopped because we thought it could wake the neighbors and they'd call us to report a cat outside their window.
The worst part was we caught absolutely nothing during the whole time. No rabbits, or raccoons. No small children, even
It was like Turtle was in the woods laughing at us saying "I'll come out when I'm good and ready," Or more likely he was elsewhere. You can't put traps everywhere, you follow your best guess, instinct or whatever you can grab on to. In this case a tracker targeted this particular area because his dog picked up a scent.
The decision where to set the traps, who to call and what to believe is based on instinct, probability and statistics.
Fair enough, but the only statistic that matters is if he's found or if he isn't.